My One and Only Saints 2015 Mock Draft

Here's my Saints mock for 2015. Keep in mind this isn't a prediction of who I think Saints will pick, rather who I think the Saints should pick. Last season, no one on my list was picked by the Saints, but, all were picked by one team or another and all earned a spot on their team's opening day final 53 including: one starter, Xavier Su'a-Filo(Houston,my #1) three regulars, Donte Moncrief(Colts), Pierre Desir(Browns) and Jerick McKinnon(Vikings), and three special teamers.

If your keeping score, that's me 7, Saints 4(and that includes Stanley Jean-Batiste and Khairi Fortt, I mean, really...)To be fair, the Saints had no 3rd round pick as they gave it up to move up in round one for Brandon Cooks.

This season the Saints cannot afford for me to best them again. Hey, I go to one sight, view the list of players, look at their videos and pick. The Saints have a team of scouts attending games, looking at miles of video tape, doing background checks, interviews, attending pro days, combines, bringing in players for visits and having meeting after meeting after meeting.

Then they go to Las Vegas the weekend before the draft. Just saying.

Here I go. My only rule. No trades.

Round 1. Pick #13: La'ell Collins OT, LSU 6'4" 305lbs. Collins is my pick now and has always been at 13, he moves to guard and stays there for 10+ seasons. He brings a road grinders mentality with a tackle's athleticism. Mean, tough, versatile and strong. Collins dominated SEC defensive lineman the last two seasons at left tackle. Insert him at left guard between to pro bowl center Max Unger and rising star Terron Armstead and watch the offense soar again. He can also bounce outside to play tackle if needed.

Round 1. Pick #31: Dorial Green-Beckham  WR, Oklahoma 6'5" 237lbs 4.5. I know what you're saying. "Defense! The Saints need defense!" I just don't see the value at 13 and 31 for going defense. Green is a huge target at WR. Sean Payton loves huge targets at WR. Drew Brees loves huge targets at WR. One coach at OU stated that DGB was held out of some practices because he was embarrassing the DBs too much. With size comparable to Jimmy Graham and more speed, he is what Graham could only claim to be. A legit wide receiver. Admittedly, this is a bit of a gamble. Green has baggage. But he is a top ten talent sitting there at 31. Somebody is picking him. I'll take a shot.

Round 2. Pick #44: Bernardrick McKinney ILB, Mississippi State 6'4" 254lbs. 4.5 Instinctive, versatile, hard hitting, sure tackling and big LB with speed. Can rush off the edge in passing situations. Athletic with a 34" vertical leap. With Akiem Hicks in a contract year and John Jenkins 100% healthy, those two look to have rebound seasons in '15. McKinney will have the freedom to read the gaps, take on and shed blockers, roam laterally to make plays and use his speed to close in on ball barriers. Line him up on the same side as Cam Jordan on passing downs and make the opposing OL choose who to block. A RB won't be able to block him with a head of steam. First round talent.

Round 3. Pick #75 Trey Flowers DE,  Arkansas 6'2" 266lbs. Love this kid. Some guys are just ballers. Flowers is one of them. He may not possess ideal size for a DE but has long arms and strength gives him the ability to grab ball carriers and get them to the ground. His elite quickness allows him to close on the QB in a hurry. His good balance prevents him from being juked by mobile QBs. Doesn't over commit and lose contain. Can flat beat out Junior Galette if given a fair chance. However, if Galette and Cam Jordan rebound from subpar years, Flowers will flourish in the DLine rotation. But, do not sell Flowers short. He is determined to become an NFL starter and has the skills to do it. His rookie season will prepare him to take over the starting DE spot.

Round 3. Pick #78 Jaquiski Tartt SS, Samford 6'1" 221lbs 4.5. Intense. High Energy. Hard hitting safety with a nose for the ball and a punishing tackler. Can locate and close on the ball in flight. Explodes on receiver as ball arrives, jarring it loose. Played basketball in high school then switched to football as a senior. That;s why he wasn't recruited by the big schools. Will become Rob Ryan's favorite player and Saints fans will love him. Compares favorably to Sammy Knight, but faster. While Kenny Vaccarro continues to look for someone to lead him, Tartt's natural leadership skills will prove invaluable in the locker room. A third round steal.

Round 5. Pick# 148 Lorenzo Doss CB, Tulane 5'10" 182lbs 4.47. Payton turns to his friend and former pupil for the ball hawking interception machine from Willow Street. The former high school WR possesses great ball skills and is a playmaker. Though smaller in stature to the NFL's larger WR, Doss could step into the 3rd CB spot immediately to guard slot receivers. Has a reputation of being a tough, hard working football player willing to  play hurt and through pain. The Saints could definitely use someone like that.

Round 5. Pick #154 Lynden Trail DE, Norfolk St. 6'7" 270. Intriguing, talented and fluid athlete. The former wide receiver played gunner on punt team. Played deep safety in Hail Mary situations. Played some TE in goal line situations and at Senior Bowl. Displayed good, soft hands. Excels in pass rushing. Long arms and strong hands reach the QB as he carries O-linemen with him. Gets lost in the crowd in the run game. Will excel on 3rd down passing situations and at 6'7" will make a good field goal middle rusher.

Round 6. Pick #186 Darren Waller WR, Georgia Tech 6'6" 240lbs. 4.47 Another big WR. Waller played in the wishbone type offense running the triple option 90% of the time at Tech, therefore he is a solid blocker. After the failure of Stephen Hill which came after the success of Calvin Johnson, scouts have soured on Georgia Tech WRs. Waller's stock suffered because of this. Though not a polished route runner, his size and speed combination make him to hard to pass up at #186. Plus, he will learn route running under Brees, Payton and new WR coach John Morton's tutelage. Morton recently helped San Francisco's Anquan Bolden reach 1000 yards receiving in each the 2013 and 2014 seasons. His first since 2009.

Round 7. Pick #230 Jarmarcus "J.J." Nelson WR UAB 5'10" 160lbs 4.28 Speed speed speed, Meet Michael Lewis the 2nd. Nelson may never be a big time WR but his return skills are off the charts. JJ returned four kickoffs for touchdowns for the Blazers. He will bring the return game back to it's glorious past of the Lewis and Mel Grey eras. I can just hear the thundering chant from the dome crowd, "JJ...JJ...JJ!!!" as he lines up to return a kick.

So those are my picks and I'm sticking with them.

Enjoy the draft!

Graham Trade Signals Possible Paradigm Shift for Saints O

When last we saw each other, the first item on my Saints wish list for 2015 was a nasty OG to sure up the offensive line. One to help protect drew Brees up the middle and two to further enhance the running game which showed potential in the second half of 2014.

Well, the Saints went one better. They traded for Seattle All-Pro center Max Unger and a #1 draft pick in exchange for All-pro TE Jimmy Graham and a 4th rd draft pick.

Yes, the Saints got nasty on the O-line today. Unger is a no-nonsense, tough as nails leader who, at center who will upgrade the play of the entire unit. He is the type of gritty player the Saints have sorely lacked as of late.

Unfortunately, to get something you must give up something.

While Jimmy Graham will be missed as a receiving TE, his lack of blocking skills have made him expendable. Word is he's also become a bit of a diva since signing the big contract. As the Saints begin a paradigm shift in their offensive philosophy, a blocking TE will be needed more than a receiving TE.

Personally, I will miss pre-contract Jimmy Graham. He provided more highlights than can be counted. He was a match-up nightmare for opposing defenses. When the Saints needed a big play, Brees to Graham was among the most feared combinations in the NFL.

But in games that mattered most, Graham disappeared. He was exposed as being weak minded and surprisingly shut downable when matched up with a CB with size(Patriots' Aqib Talib) or a safety with speed(Ravens' Will Hill) or any defense named the Seahawks.

Back to Unger. This deal, to me, signals a shift in the Saints offensive philosophy. With the re-signing of Mark Ingram, continued development of Khiry Robinson and the farewell to Pierre Thomas, it appears Sean Payton has concluded that power is better than finesse. Look for the Saints to emphasize the power running game more in 2015.

Why the shift?

1. To protect the franchise. Even at 36, Drew Brees still drives the car. A better running game will keep the heat up the middle off him.

2. To protect the defense. A power running game keeps the clock running, the opponents offense off the field and best yet, keeps YOUR crappy defense off the field.

Whether Payton displays the discipline needed to stick with the running game remains to be seen. But it appears he's willing to give it try.

So a big welcome for Max Unger, a much needed force on the offensive line.

As for Saints fans mourning the loss of yet another Saints great moving on to another team, don't forget, the Saints won a Super Bowl before any of us ever heard of Jimmy Graham.

Losing the Win

Good news! Saints win their season finale!

Bad news. Saints win their season finale.

A season ending victory closes the year on a positive note. Players, coaches and fans can now look forward to next season without that lasting gut wrenching feeling a loss hits you with. A feeling which can only be tamed by the thought of an upcoming game and a chance at redemption. Winning the finale provides redemption, however so remotely, needed to carry you through the off season. After all, after today, the only team that will taste victory in their season finale will be the Super Bowl champion.

At least it's better than losing the season finale.

Or is it? .

It was once said that when you win, you never examine it as much. But a loss invites reflection and reformulating and a change of strategy. It hurts and bleeds. It follows you home and taunts you at the breakfast table.

I think this team could use an off season of taunting at the breakfast table. They need that nagging burn inside. They need to be pissed.  They need to be reminded of how poorly they played.

Winning today will deny them of that. They couldn't handle victory for a week. How are they going to handle it for eight months?

So now we turn to 2015. Coaching changes, salary cap issues, player personnel decisions will be addressed in the coming months. Free agency, the draft, will all be discussed.

Personally, I would like to see a nasty mean guard added to shore up the middle of the OLine. A talented pass rusher is always welcome. A playmaker in the secondary and a game changer at WR would also help.

One more important thing. Add smart, mature players. But with the influx of underclassmen coming in, that feat will be harder to accomplish. Most of these guys are more Johnny Football than Russell Wilson.

Which takes us to what to do about Drew. Some would suggest drafting a young QB to groom as Brees's successor. I say cross that bridge when you get to it. In forty plus years of watching the NFL I've seen "grooming the heir apparent " work three times. Danny White for Roger Staubach. Steve Young for Joe Montana and Aaron Rodgers for Brett Favre. Otherwise you have to ride out the QB you have hoping to get more good than bad from him and let the team pick up the rest.

Then you take the Colts route. The Colts have had three quarterback legends in my time. All three were eventually replaced by at least an equal if not a superior QB. None had the legend as their mentor. Johnny Unitas was gone when Bert Jones was drafted. Jones was gone long before Peyton Manning was drafted. Manning was gone when Andrew Luck became the first pick in the draft. If you're smart and have good scouts, when the time comes, that QB will be there.

So I'll just pass on drafting Brees's future replacement.

To sum up 2014. The Saints had a four game road winning streak concurrent with a five game home losing streak. If that don't some up 2014, nothing does. Good bye, Good riddance!

2015 can't get hear fast enough!

Surviving 4th and Ten

Four weeks ago the Saints were 4-4 and a 4th and ten stop from going 5-4 on three straight wins and gain a stranglehold on the NFC South. The dome was deafening. A stop here then two more home games and this division is ours!

All Who Dats know what happened next.

Clad in red, Colin Kaepernick struck the Saints defense like von Richtofen suddenly firing on a Niueport, causing the stunned crew into a nose dive. A dive which gained momentum as two more ugly defeats seemed to crash and burn the 2014 season.

Then out of nowhere, Pittsburg. WTF was that!?

That was a peek into what the '14 Saints were supposed to be. Complimentary football consisting of an offense so productive they force opponents into turnovers as they race to keep up. A defense with a pass rush capable of facilitating those turnovers with no fear of opponent's run game and focusing solely on getting to the overly stressed and anxiety bitten QB. A secondary in position to make drive killing and field position plays, providing Payton and Brees short trips to the end zone. Opponents finished by the 4th qtr. either desperately hoping for a miracle or giving up to fight another day.

However '14 is a version of the old cliché. You are what your record says you are. And the Saints are a 5-7. Optimist would say a play here or there and they're 8-4 maybe 9-3 if they play Cincinnati with their heads right. Others would say 3-9 or 2-10 is but a dropped pass or missed fg away.

But here's the thing.The Saints are leaders of their division. Most times 5-7 makes you start planning for next season. But the Saints are legit favorites to win the division and host a playoff game or two. Amazing.

The Saints have been granted a do over by the football Gods.

This Sunday we will see if they can take advantage. Free falling Carolina, losers of eight straight, comes to the dome with just enough left in the tank to rip the hearts out of the Saints and who dats everywhere.

To do it, though, the Saints must once again overcome their biggest 2014 obstacle.

Themselves.

Legion of Gloom

Not since that fateful week in January 2012 has the football faithful had such a gut-wrenching weekend.

Saturday night.

With another chance to further enhance the mystique of Saturday night at Death Valley, LSU was lining up to kick-off to the University of Alabama. Having just knocked down the field goal that put them up by three with roughly :50 seconds remaining. Sweet victory over the biggest nemesis in my history of watching LSU football was dancing on my taste buds.

Then I can hear myself thinking.

Way way WAIT?! Did I just hear what I thought I heard?!

A voice. In the background. It's not CBS game announcers Vern Lundquist or Gary Danielson. It's LSU PA announcer Bill Frakes. His voice, that bland, monotone, nondescript voice through all the hysteria in the stadium is bleeding through my TV. Burning my ears."Attention Tiger fans, during your celebration please do not rush the field after the game".

HUH?! Did he just say that?!

That's like bagging the bats in the top of the 9th! You just don't do it!

Before I could get the thought of how much bad luck it is to make such an announcement, ball is kicked out of bounds! Bama's drives for a FG. Game goes to overtime. Fourth and ten pass falls incomplete. Game. Over.

Every LSU fan is left with that "WTF just happened" feeling.

Sunday afternoon.

After overcoming a 14 point deficit, the Saints home winning streak was a forth and ten from remaining intact.

The 49ers convert. Kick a field goal. Game goes in to overtime.

It's ok. The Saints win the toss. They cross mid-field inside the 40 yard line. It's third and one. Mark Ingram time.

Nope. It's Drew Brees time.

A play-action fake to Ingram fools no one. Three Frisco defenders are standing near Brees target. Brees, with more time than he thinks he has, rushes his throw into triple coverage anyway. A choice he has made way to often this season.

Incomplete.

Saints choose to punt on 4th and 1. Thomas Morestead chips a beauty that bounces and dangles tantalizingly at the one. However, Nick Toon, barreling uncontrolled toward the ball, slides into it and carries it into the endzone for a touchback. Killing twenty yards of field position.

Saints hold. 49ers punt. Down the ball near the Saints seven. Brees fumbles. 49ers kick game winning field goal.

Saints fans meander about stadium in a daze, forgetting how to exit as losers.

While LSU's season is all but finished. Les Miles is left to consider whether to play promising young QB Brandon Harris. Word is that Harris doesn't put enough time in the film room while Jennings is a film room junkie. If this is true, one can't blame Miles for hesitating to insert him as the starter. If it's true than LSU's future at QB is in trouble.

The Saints, by the grace of the NFC South, are still in the thick of the playoff race. So last week's loss was not as devastating. But a win this Sunday against Cincinnati is a must. I think they will. But though the Bengals are reeling now, the Saints have a bad habit of playing down to their competition. And the way the ball has been bouncing for them this season, it's no gimme.

Get Off His Back and A Rivalry Re-Born

If you're like me and growing weary from all the Brees bashing lately, here's something a little different.

But first something off my chest.

This season I made the decision to wait till at least Wednesday after the game to write. I did so to be less visceral in my take. Written last Monday, this would've been an ugly rant aimed at the further decline of Brees, his Farvian transformation and Powerball salary.

But I'm glad I waited. Because as my emotion faded and I calmed the eff down, I started to think about Heath Shuler, Kerry Collins, Doug Nessmeier. Jim Everett, Mike Buck, Wade Wilson, Steve Walsh, Danny Wuerfel, the Billy Jo's(Tolliver and Hobert) and Aaron Brooks.

Then I started counting my blessings. Because there isn't any one of those QB's, NONE, that  I would take over Drew Brees, with all his troubles, right now. And It ain't even close.

He's being called overrated(as opposed to who?). He's called overpaid. Resented for a salary that he only asked for but forced no one to pay him. Fans and media are turning against him.

Not me.

Only next time, Drew, take the sack.

This Saturday, LSU plays Ole Miss in Tiger Stadium and are 3 point underdogs. Think about that. LSU is an underdog at home to Ole Miss. Some would say this is a statement on how down the LSU program is in 2014. However I say this a bigger statement on how much the Ole Miss program has risen. Since Hugh Freeze took over as HC of the Rebels only three seasons ago, he has brought them back to the glory days of Archie who?.

Most people may not realize this, but the LSU vs Ole Miss game was once the biggest rivalry in the south. Yes, bigger than the Iron Bowl. The problem is since the era of Archie Manning ended, the Ole Miss football program has been stuck in the bowels of the SEC, save for a few sporadic winning seasons. Sure, LSU had its down years but the one game LSU fans could generally count on was beating Ole Miss. In fact, an argument could be made that at least  two coaches were fired because losing to Ole Miss was the final nail in their coffin.

Now the situation has completely turned.

It used to be when Ole Miss beat LSU, you got the feeling they got away with one. LSU was the better team having a bad night. Maybe looking ahead to a stronger opponent or flat from the week before. Example, in 1997, LSU beat #1 Florida and Steve Spurrier only to lose to unranked Ole Miss the very next week. That or something flukish happening like clock mismanagement or trick plays.

That won't happen this week. After beating Alabama at home followed by thumping Texas A&M in College Station, possessing perhaps the best defense LSU has faced since the 2012 BCS championship, Ole Miss has LSU's full attention. Which leads me to this.

How will Ole Miss handle success? Hugh Freeze and the Rebels are playing with house money. It's less difficult for a good coach to start winning when nothing is expected of you. But now every Ole Miss fan is expecting them to waltz into Tiger Stadium and do to the Tigers what Mississippi St did. In fact, since beating Alabama, Freeze can say goodbye to the good old days when just becoming bowl eligible made you an Oxford legend.

Now it's LSU who can be loose, at home, no expectations. "Hey, we're rebuilding. This is your best season ever, Ole Miss. Let's see whatcha got."

No one. I mean no one expects LSU to win this game save for some flukish things happening.

It will be interesting to see if Ole Miss can handle success or fold under the pressure they've created for themselves. I'm certain LSU would love to be the ones to make them.

THAT'S why they call it a rivalry!

This Fall is Revealling

As the calendar turns to October, in our football world, we've had better falls.

After a promising off season of signings, draft picks and country club training, five games in, the Saints have the look of a team teetering on decline. The Payton/Brees mystique is all but gone. A once feared road team, today they are greeted with open arms by their host cities. Now, something more disconcerting than the road woes and perhaps the signal of decline, the most dominant home team since 2011 is struggling to win against even the NFL's weaker opponents. At home!

A respected coach lauded as cutting edge in talent evaluation, motivation, play design and a master play caller, Sean Payton has seemed to have lost his magic touch. Sure, statistically, the Saints remain near the top of the NFL in most offensive categories but in reality, this is hardly the pinball machine offense we've grown accustomed to. Every yard seems to be a struggle. Every score a minor victory.

It doesn't help that his defense has once again abandoned him. Actually, it's always been a drag on his team in one form or another. It's not like he hasn't tried to improve it. High draft picks, free agent signings and multiple defensive defensive coordinators all produced pretty much the same results. Though the statistics have been all over the board since Payton arrived, the one constant(except 2009) and the most important factor has been the lack of creating turnovers. Forcing even the most prolific offenses to continuously drive the length of the field to score causes more and more stress increasing the risk of turnovers and injury.

But the biggest sign that this is the beginning of the end to the Payton/Brees era is Drew Brees.  Brees will always be the greatest player to ever wear the black and gold.  He is permanent royalty. It's been the most fun I've ever had watching the Saints. Ever. But like that teeny tiny little snowball that slowly begins its slide down the mountain, Brees has begun his descent.

It starts with poor road showings against elite teams then average teams then hapless teams. Those road woes start to purge into home games. The deep ball first discreetly falls short then eventually floats and flutters. The interceptions first credited to great plays by opposing defenders become the unforgivable type thrown in the waning seconds of the first half of Sunday's game. Usually thrown by an unseasoned rookie or an aging QB feeling pressure and fearing injury. Even worse to come right back and commit the same sin the very next possession is stunning.

What's happening to Brees is not unusual. In fact, it's expected. A 36 year old with a family and multiple business and civic interest is nearly impossible to commit the type of focus of a 26-30 year old just hitting his prime. Even if it's a minute, almost undetectable loss of focus. Once it goes, its tough to get it back. Couple the lost focus with the natural deterioration of an athletes ability and you get those poor road performances then eventually those poor home performances.

I understand he just shot a Pepsi commercial this week on his day off. That's where his focus is. I once did a commercial shoot for a one minute spot for a Magazine Street merchant. It took about four hours. A national commercial with a huge budget is taking all day. A man with less distractions and more focus(and who doesn't need the money) would be in the film room on his day off trying to figure out a way to compensate for his new physical limitations. One would think.

At LSU the decline is more obvious. As people point to the defections of juniors and loss of seniors the last two seasons as the main culprit, I take a different angle. Sure, there has been an inordinate amount of attrition but at the same time the SEC West has gotten stronger. Les Miles can no longer count on easy victories against weak sister SEC opponents such as Ole Miss and Miss St. Auburn, up and down during the Miles era has ended Miles three game winning streak against them as they have become a perennial power.

People who state Miles overall record as an indication of his superior coaching ability fail to mention this. Where was Ole Miss, Auburn, Florida and Kentucky in 2011? Miles greatest season. A combined 11-29 in SEC play. Also with an incredible amount of NFL talent on that defense, the offense could be hyper-conservative with below average QB play and still succeed. Not anymore.

Not only the defections but Miles' indecisiveness to pick a starting QB and his unwillingness to use that QB to best suit his athletic ability have lead to agonizing predictable play calling. His overprotectiveness of either starting QB is destroying both of their confidence and crippling the talents of highly recruited and potentially explosive players at WR and RB. Now that the league is much stronger, the offensive deficiencies are heightened.

On defense, his affection for players on defense who are clearly overmatched by SEC talent has been disastrous. The lack of developing highly touted defensive linemen results in undersized and slow-footed D-tackles being manhandled. LSU has given up 645 yards rushing in two SEC games. When a team is leaking yards at that rate, nothing else needs to be stated.

Can these teams turn their seasons around?

Sure. But it will be tough.

The Saints seem to have less daunting road as six of the remaining eleven games on the schedule are in the dome. However their opponents are much tougher. At Detroit, Chicago, Carolina. Home against Green Bay, San Francisco and Carolina.

Guess who has the nations #1 toughest remaining college football schedule?

LSU.